Roulette Wolfie Ladder version X - Last updated: October 3, 2026

84% win rate based on all 1,233 runs ( SEE results for more details )


this is my trial / work in progress version of the wolfie ladder system. see version D for the full system with recovery.

the goal is trying to get a system with small bets on a elecronic roulette table with min bet $3 and max be $250 on a dozen bet.


update 10/01/2026: removed the waiting for a win for stage 1.5 and stage 2.5 seemed to make no notibale difference in the win rate. also added database to save the runs and display the win rate on the results page. Also removed step 7 to keep the system simple and fast we have a 5% chance of hitting this but we will recover it. see version A for having that step included back in.

update 10/02/2026: removed step 14 to keep the system simple and fast we have a 5% chance of hitting this but we will recover it. see version B for having that step included back in. removed step 22 ( see version C for having that step included back in) if loosing step 21 and not bankrupt reset the ladder and start over on stage 3 . Reason being that step 22 had a 31% chance of winning but the chances of winning the stages in the ladder 10 times is 68% . you have a better chance of getting the money back doing the ladder.

People keep misunderstanding what I actually built, so here is the truth in plain English: I am not a gambler — I am a programmer. I did not sit there playing 10,000 roulette games like some guy with a lucky rabbit foot. I wrote a program that runs the entire Wolfie Ladder — all 3 stages, all 21 steps — across 50 to 300 simultaneous games on a single page, and then I repeated that whole batch 10,000 times. That is how you get a real statistical picture. That is how you reach a ~90% win rate. Not vibes. Not superstition. Not “progressions” like Fibonacci that blow up the moment variance sneezes. The Wolfie Ladder is engineered to survive streaks, recover losses, and beat the distribution curve — and I tested it by running 10,000+ full sequences in under 30 minutes, not by hand playing one spin at a time. If people think I sat there clicking red/black like a zombie, they really do not understand who they are talking to. When i first made this system luck i guess was on my side because the first few hundred times i was playing it i was winning at a rate of 91% of the time but as i kept running it more and more times the win rate started to drop and now it is at ~80% . And here’s the part people really don’t understand: the Wolfie Ladder wins even when the game‑level win rate is losing. For example — in one of the sequences on the active tab, the system played 92 total games. Out of those:
38 wins
54 losses
Including a brutal streak where it lost every single bet from #52 through #67
That’s 16 consecutive losses in the middle of the run.
And despite that? Despite losing more games than it won? Despite eating a variance spike that would vaporize Fibonacci, Martingale, or any “pro gambler” strategy?
It still finished the sequence up +$100.
That’s the point. The Ladder doesn’t care about “win more than you lose.” It cares about sequence structure, distribution recovery, and controlled escalation. It’s engineered to survive streaks, absorb damage, and still exit the sequence profitable — even when the raw win/loss ratio looks terrible.
This is why the system works. This is why the win rate stabilizes around ~78.2% across 10,000 full trials. Not because it wins every spin — but because it wins the sequence.
THE WOLFIE LADDER SYSTEM (Step-by-Step) CLICK HERE IF YOU WANT TO KNOW THE REASONING BEHIND THESE STEPS
STAGE 1:
1️⃣ Bet on two dozens, $3 each (total $6). If win → net +$3, reset ladder, back to Step 1. If lose → Step 2.
2️⃣ Bet on two dozens, $9 each (total $18). Win → net +$3 ($9 minus the $6 lost on Step 1), reset. Lose → Step 3.
3️⃣ Bet $14 on the first dozen. Win → net +$4 ($28 minus the $24 already lost), reset. Lose → Step 4.
4️⃣ Bet $21 on the first dozen. Win → net +$4 ($42 minus the $38 already lost), reset. Lose → Step 5.
5️⃣ Bet $28 on the first dozen. Win → net −$3 ($56 minus the $59 already lost), reset. Lose → Step 6.
6️⃣ Bet $42 on the first dozen. Win → net −$3 ($84 minus the $87 already lost), reset. Lose → set bank_needed_to_reset = current bank + 90, then Step 8.
7️⃣(Removed in Version B. It only increased Stage‑1 probability by ~2%, but added a heavy 45‑unit cost. Cutting it keeps the system simpler, faster, and far less volatile. We still have a ~5% chance of hitting this loss, but the ladder easily recovers it.)
STAGE 2:
8️⃣ Bet $10 on two dozens. Win & bank > bank_needed_to_reset → reset. Win but bank ≤ bank_needed_to_reset → repeat Step 8. Lose → Step 9. ( net win at this step is $10 )
9️⃣ Bet $16 on the first dozen. Win & bank > bank_needed_to_reset → reset. Win but bank ≤ bank_needed_to_reset → Step 8. Lose → Step 10. ( net win at this step is $12 )
🔟 Bet $24 on the first dozen. Win & bank > bank_needed_to_reset → reset. Win but bank ≤ bank_needed_to_reset → Step 8. Lose → Step 11. ( net win at this step is $12 )
1️⃣1️⃣ Bet $36 on the first dozen. Win & bank > bank_needed_to_reset → reset. Win but bank ≤ bank_needed_to_reset → Step 8. Lose → Step 12. ( net win at this step is $12 )
1️⃣2️⃣ Bet $54 on the first dozen. Win & bank > bank_needed_to_reset → reset. Win but bank ≤ bank_needed_to_reset → Step 8. Lose → Step 13. ( net win at this step is $12 )
1️⃣3️⃣ Bet $81 on the first dozen. Win & bank > bank_needed_to_reset → reset. Win but bank ≤ bank_needed_to_reset → Step 8. Lose → set bank_needed_to_reset = current bank + 300, then Step 15. ( net win at this step is $12 )
1️⃣4️⃣ (Removed in Version C. It only increased Stage‑2 probability by ~2%, but added a heavy 122‑unit cost.
STAGE 3:
1️⃣5️⃣ Bet $25 on two dozens. Win & bank > bank_needed_to_reset → reset. Win but bank ≤ bank_needed_to_reset → repeat Step 15. Lose → Step 16.
1️⃣6️⃣ Bet $40 on the first dozen. Win & bank > bank_needed_to_reset → reset. Win but bank ≤ bank_needed_to_reset → Step 15. Lose → Step 17.
1️⃣7️⃣ Bet $60 on the first dozen. Win & bank > bank_needed_to_reset → reset. Win but bank ≤ bank_needed_to_reset → Step 15. Lose → Step 18.
1️⃣8️⃣ Bet $90 on the first dozen. Win & bank > bank_needed_to_reset → reset. Win but bank ≤ bank_needed_to_reset → Step 15. Lose → Step 19.
1️⃣9️⃣ Bet $130 on the first dozen. Win & bank > bank_needed_to_reset → reset. Win but bank ≤ bank_needed_to_reset → Step 15. Lose → Step 20.
2️⃣0️⃣ Bet $190 on the first dozen. Win & bank > bank_needed_to_reset → reset. Win but bank ≤ bank_needed_to_reset → Step 15. Lose → Step 21.
2️⃣1️⃣ Bet $250 on the first dozen. Win & bank > bank_needed_to_reset → reset. Win but bank ≤ bank_needed_to_reset → Step 15. Lose → Step 15.

Roulette wheel
This system was build using 80 diffent ai agents across 8 LLM models to test the best possible system for roulette using lupopedia AI platform.
The programmer captain wolfie (Eric) was too board playing just one game at a time so programmed this to play up to 500 games all at once, that way can play thousands of times a minute and find the best stratagy that holds up . .
Want the full story? Check out the Patreon post for the complete dialog between Captain Wolfie, Grok, and the mischievous Lilith!

Why my versions are A, B, C instead of major.minor.patch Because the traditional versioning system — major.minor.patch — is meaningless for what I’m doing here. I’m not shipping software releases. I’m iterating behavioral variants of a probability engine. Each version (A, B, C… all the way to ZZ if I want) represents a distinct ladder logic, a distinct recovery pattern, a distinct volatility profile, and a distinct mathematical personality. These aren’t “patches.” These aren’t “minor updates.” These are forks of logic. Version A behaves one way. Version B behaves another way. Version C might remove a step, add a step, rebalance a stage, or change the volatility curve entirely. Using semantic versioning (4.0.96, 4.0.97, etc.) would imply these are incremental changes to the same system — but they’re not. They’re parallel universes. So I use lettered versions because: They’re simple They’re human-readable They reflect behavior, not “patch level” They let me branch logic infinitely (A → B → C → … → Z → AA → AB → … → ZZ) They match how I actually think about the system In other words: Version A is a creature. Version B is a different creature. Version C is another creature. Letters make more sense for creatures than numbers.

Probability Reality Check

American wheel dozen loss probability stays the same on every spin: about 68.42% to lose, 31.58% to hit your dozen. Even after 10 or 15 losses in a row, the next spin is still roughly 1/3 to win, 2/3 to lose. This ladder doesn't pretend the odds improve—it only adjusts stake size so that, when you do finally win, you aim to recover with the progression. The house edge is still there; this is about controlled exposure, not guaranteed profit.

500-Round Simulation (American Wheel Model)

MySQL connected to collab52_salessyntax on localhost. This run was saved to wolfie_ladder_runs.

Every time this page loads it simulates 500 games using the WOLFIE Ladder exactly as defined here or stops if you win $100+ How did you do? If the run ended in the cliff, click here to try again and generate a fresh 500-game sequence. Saved runs are listed on wolfie_ladder_results.php.

Final Bank
103.00
Net Units
-1,397.00
Wins / Losses
105 / 127
Max Step Reached
21
Run Status
Bank Depleted or Game Over
Table Limit Hit
No
Bank Depleted
Yes

Below is one 500-bet run. Each roll uses the real American wheel odds (12/38 for single dozen). Every time a win hits, we reset or loop based on rules.

# Bet Wheel Result Bank Next Step Mode
1 3 each on two dozens 0 Loss 1,494.00 2 Step 1
2 9 each on two dozens 3 Win 1,503.00 1 Step 2
3 3 each on two dozens 7 Win 1,506.00 1 Step 1
4 3 each on two dozens 1 Win 1,509.00 1 Step 1
5 3 each on two dozens 36 Loss 1,503.00 2 Step 1
6 9 each on two dozens 25 Loss 1,485.00 3 Step 2
7 14 on first dozen 32 Loss 1,471.00 4 Step 3
8 21 on first dozen 2 Win 1,513.00 1 Step 4
9 3 each on two dozens 21 Win 1,516.00 1 Step 1
10 3 each on two dozens 36 Loss 1,510.00 2 Step 1
11 9 each on two dozens 25 Loss 1,492.00 3 Step 2
12 14 on first dozen 00 Loss 1,478.00 4 Step 3
13 21 on first dozen 1 Win 1,520.00 1 Step 4
14 3 each on two dozens 30 Loss 1,514.00 2 Step 1
15 9 each on two dozens 17 Win 1,523.00 1 Step 2
16 3 each on two dozens 9 Win 1,526.00 1 Step 1
17 3 each on two dozens 00 Loss 1,520.00 2 Step 1
18 9 each on two dozens 00 Loss 1,502.00 3 Step 2
19 14 on first dozen 36 Loss 1,488.00 4 Step 3
20 21 on first dozen 15 Loss 1,467.00 5 Step 4
21 28 on first dozen 19 Loss 1,439.00 6 Step 5
22 42 on first dozen 18 Loss 1,397.00 8 Step 6
23 10 each on two dozens 17 Win 1,407.00 8 Step 8
24 10 each on two dozens 16 Win 1,417.00 8 Step 8
25 10 each on two dozens 36 Loss 1,397.00 9 Step 8
26 16 on first dozen 9 Win 1,429.00 8 Step 9
27 10 each on two dozens 21 Win 1,439.00 8 Step 8
28 10 each on two dozens 00 Loss 1,419.00 9 Step 8
29 16 on first dozen 21 Loss 1,403.00 10 Step 9
30 24 on first dozen 00 Loss 1,379.00 11 Step 10
31 36 on first dozen 17 Loss 1,343.00 12 Step 11
32 54 on first dozen 1 Win 1,451.00 8 Step 12
33 10 each on two dozens 11 Win 1,461.00 8 Step 8
34 10 each on two dozens 10 Win 1,471.00 8 Step 8
35 10 each on two dozens 9 Win 1,481.00 8 Step 8
36 10 each on two dozens 6 Win 1,491.00 1 Step 8
37 3 each on two dozens 13 Win 1,494.00 1 Step 1
38 3 each on two dozens 30 Loss 1,488.00 2 Step 1
39 9 each on two dozens 7 Win 1,497.00 1 Step 2
40 3 each on two dozens 29 Loss 1,491.00 2 Step 1
41 9 each on two dozens 8 Win 1,500.00 1 Step 2
42 3 each on two dozens 34 Loss 1,494.00 2 Step 1
43 9 each on two dozens 14 Win 1,503.00 1 Step 2
44 3 each on two dozens 28 Loss 1,497.00 2 Step 1
45 9 each on two dozens 0 Loss 1,479.00 3 Step 2
46 14 on first dozen 27 Loss 1,465.00 4 Step 3
47 21 on first dozen 22 Loss 1,444.00 5 Step 4
48 28 on first dozen 31 Loss 1,416.00 6 Step 5
49 42 on first dozen 11 Win 1,500.00 1 Step 6
50 3 each on two dozens 14 Win 1,503.00 1 Step 1
51 3 each on two dozens 35 Loss 1,497.00 2 Step 1
52 9 each on two dozens 14 Win 1,506.00 1 Step 2
53 3 each on two dozens 22 Win 1,509.00 1 Step 1
54 3 each on two dozens 18 Win 1,512.00 1 Step 1
55 3 each on two dozens 14 Win 1,515.00 1 Step 1
56 3 each on two dozens 32 Loss 1,509.00 2 Step 1
57 9 each on two dozens 6 Win 1,518.00 1 Step 2
58 3 each on two dozens 19 Win 1,521.00 1 Step 1
59 3 each on two dozens 25 Loss 1,515.00 2 Step 1
60 9 each on two dozens 33 Loss 1,497.00 3 Step 2
61 14 on first dozen 11 Win 1,525.00 1 Step 3
62 3 each on two dozens 17 Win 1,528.00 1 Step 1
63 3 each on two dozens 8 Win 1,531.00 1 Step 1
64 3 each on two dozens 17 Win 1,534.00 1 Step 1
65 3 each on two dozens 0 Loss 1,528.00 2 Step 1
66 9 each on two dozens 35 Loss 1,510.00 3 Step 2
67 14 on first dozen 27 Loss 1,496.00 4 Step 3
68 21 on first dozen 32 Loss 1,475.00 5 Step 4
69 28 on first dozen 20 Loss 1,447.00 6 Step 5
70 42 on first dozen 22 Loss 1,405.00 8 Step 6
71 10 each on two dozens 25 Loss 1,385.00 9 Step 8
72 16 on first dozen 21 Loss 1,369.00 10 Step 9
73 24 on first dozen 21 Loss 1,345.00 11 Step 10
74 36 on first dozen 16 Loss 1,309.00 12 Step 11
75 54 on first dozen 2 Win 1,417.00 8 Step 12
76 10 each on two dozens 31 Loss 1,397.00 9 Step 8
77 16 on first dozen 36 Loss 1,381.00 10 Step 9
78 24 on first dozen 11 Win 1,429.00 8 Step 10
79 10 each on two dozens 9 Win 1,439.00 8 Step 8
80 10 each on two dozens 4 Win 1,449.00 8 Step 8
81 10 each on two dozens 27 Loss 1,429.00 9 Step 8
82 16 on first dozen 29 Loss 1,413.00 10 Step 9
83 24 on first dozen 9 Win 1,461.00 8 Step 10
84 10 each on two dozens 35 Loss 1,441.00 9 Step 8
85 16 on first dozen 16 Loss 1,425.00 10 Step 9
86 24 on first dozen 15 Loss 1,401.00 11 Step 10
87 36 on first dozen 5 Win 1,473.00 8 Step 11
88 10 each on two dozens 25 Loss 1,453.00 9 Step 8
89 16 on first dozen 2 Win 1,485.00 8 Step 9
90 10 each on two dozens 33 Loss 1,465.00 9 Step 8
91 16 on first dozen 34 Loss 1,449.00 10 Step 9
92 24 on first dozen 17 Loss 1,425.00 11 Step 10
93 36 on first dozen 12 Win 1,497.00 1 Step 11
94 3 each on two dozens 6 Win 1,500.00 1 Step 1
95 3 each on two dozens 7 Win 1,503.00 1 Step 1
96 3 each on two dozens 6 Win 1,506.00 1 Step 1
97 3 each on two dozens 36 Loss 1,500.00 2 Step 1
98 9 each on two dozens 35 Loss 1,482.00 3 Step 2
99 14 on first dozen 36 Loss 1,468.00 4 Step 3
100 21 on first dozen 27 Loss 1,447.00 5 Step 4
101 28 on first dozen 32 Loss 1,419.00 6 Step 5
102 42 on first dozen 30 Loss 1,377.00 8 Step 6
103 10 each on two dozens 22 Win 1,387.00 8 Step 8
104 10 each on two dozens 12 Win 1,397.00 8 Step 8
105 10 each on two dozens 2 Win 1,407.00 8 Step 8
106 10 each on two dozens 8 Win 1,417.00 8 Step 8
107 10 each on two dozens 20 Win 1,427.00 8 Step 8
108 10 each on two dozens 34 Loss 1,407.00 9 Step 8
109 16 on first dozen 1 Win 1,439.00 8 Step 9
110 10 each on two dozens 24 Win 1,449.00 8 Step 8
111 10 each on two dozens 0 Loss 1,429.00 9 Step 8
112 16 on first dozen 14 Loss 1,413.00 10 Step 9
113 24 on first dozen 22 Loss 1,389.00 11 Step 10
114 36 on first dozen 36 Loss 1,353.00 12 Step 11
115 54 on first dozen 36 Loss 1,299.00 13 Step 12
116 81 on first dozen 1 Win 1,461.00 8 Step 13
117 10 each on two dozens 17 Win 1,471.00 1 Step 8
118 3 each on two dozens 24 Win 1,474.00 1 Step 1
119 3 each on two dozens 9 Win 1,477.00 1 Step 1
120 3 each on two dozens 5 Win 1,480.00 1 Step 1
121 3 each on two dozens 32 Loss 1,474.00 2 Step 1
122 9 each on two dozens 16 Win 1,483.00 1 Step 2
123 3 each on two dozens 26 Loss 1,477.00 2 Step 1
124 9 each on two dozens 3 Win 1,486.00 1 Step 2
125 3 each on two dozens 0 Loss 1,480.00 2 Step 1
126 9 each on two dozens 12 Win 1,489.00 1 Step 2
127 3 each on two dozens 14 Win 1,492.00 1 Step 1
128 3 each on two dozens 31 Loss 1,486.00 2 Step 1
129 9 each on two dozens 31 Loss 1,468.00 3 Step 2
130 14 on first dozen 36 Loss 1,454.00 4 Step 3
131 21 on first dozen 8 Win 1,496.00 1 Step 4
132 3 each on two dozens 16 Win 1,499.00 1 Step 1
133 3 each on two dozens 5 Win 1,502.00 1 Step 1
134 3 each on two dozens 1 Win 1,505.00 1 Step 1
135 3 each on two dozens 24 Win 1,508.00 1 Step 1
136 3 each on two dozens 13 Win 1,511.00 1 Step 1
137 3 each on two dozens 11 Win 1,514.00 1 Step 1
138 3 each on two dozens 35 Loss 1,508.00 2 Step 1
139 9 each on two dozens 27 Loss 1,490.00 3 Step 2
140 14 on first dozen 19 Loss 1,476.00 4 Step 3
141 21 on first dozen 00 Loss 1,455.00 5 Step 4
142 28 on first dozen 19 Loss 1,427.00 6 Step 5
143 42 on first dozen 35 Loss 1,385.00 8 Step 6
144 10 each on two dozens 20 Win 1,395.00 8 Step 8
145 10 each on two dozens 16 Win 1,405.00 8 Step 8
146 10 each on two dozens 27 Loss 1,385.00 9 Step 8
147 16 on first dozen 2 Win 1,417.00 8 Step 9
148 10 each on two dozens 11 Win 1,427.00 8 Step 8
149 10 each on two dozens 15 Win 1,437.00 8 Step 8
150 10 each on two dozens 14 Win 1,447.00 8 Step 8
151 10 each on two dozens 5 Win 1,457.00 8 Step 8
152 10 each on two dozens 33 Loss 1,437.00 9 Step 8
153 16 on first dozen 7 Win 1,469.00 8 Step 9
154 10 each on two dozens 33 Loss 1,449.00 9 Step 8
155 16 on first dozen 25 Loss 1,433.00 10 Step 9
156 24 on first dozen 32 Loss 1,409.00 11 Step 10
157 36 on first dozen 25 Loss 1,373.00 12 Step 11
158 54 on first dozen 15 Loss 1,319.00 13 Step 12
159 81 on first dozen 16 Loss 1,238.00 15 Step 13
160 25 each on two dozens 7 Win 1,263.00 15 Step 15
161 25 each on two dozens 8 Win 1,288.00 15 Step 15
162 25 each on two dozens 9 Win 1,313.00 15 Step 15
163 25 each on two dozens 10 Win 1,338.00 15 Step 15
164 25 each on two dozens 6 Win 1,363.00 15 Step 15
165 25 each on two dozens 35 Loss 1,313.00 16 Step 15
166 40 on first dozen 00 Loss 1,273.00 17 Step 16
167 60 on first dozen 26 Loss 1,213.00 18 Step 17
168 90 on first dozen 2 Win 1,393.00 15 Step 18
169 25 each on two dozens 4 Win 1,418.00 15 Step 15
170 25 each on two dozens 5 Win 1,443.00 15 Step 15
171 25 each on two dozens 12 Win 1,468.00 15 Step 15
172 25 each on two dozens 20 Win 1,493.00 15 Step 15
173 25 each on two dozens 11 Win 1,518.00 15 Step 15
174 25 each on two dozens 35 Loss 1,468.00 16 Step 15
175 40 on first dozen 27 Loss 1,428.00 17 Step 16
176 60 on first dozen 30 Loss 1,368.00 18 Step 17
177 90 on first dozen 20 Loss 1,278.00 19 Step 18
178 130 on first dozen 35 Loss 1,148.00 20 Step 19
179 190 on first dozen 32 Loss 958.00 21 Step 20
180 250 on first dozen 34 Loss 708.00 15 Step 21
181 25 each on two dozens 34 Loss 658.00 16 Step 15
182 40 on first dozen 32 Loss 618.00 17 Step 16
183 60 on first dozen 30 Loss 558.00 18 Step 17
184 90 on first dozen 17 Loss 468.00 19 Step 18
185 130 on first dozen 18 Loss 338.00 20 Step 19
186 190 on first dozen 7 Win 718.00 15 Step 20
187 25 each on two dozens 31 Loss 668.00 16 Step 15
188 40 on first dozen 3 Win 748.00 15 Step 16
189 25 each on two dozens 19 Win 773.00 15 Step 15
190 25 each on two dozens 17 Win 798.00 15 Step 15
191 25 each on two dozens 26 Loss 748.00 16 Step 15
192 40 on first dozen 33 Loss 708.00 17 Step 16
193 60 on first dozen 23 Loss 648.00 18 Step 17
194 90 on first dozen 28 Loss 558.00 19 Step 18
195 130 on first dozen 8 Win 818.00 15 Step 19
196 25 each on two dozens 3 Win 843.00 15 Step 15
197 25 each on two dozens 11 Win 868.00 15 Step 15
198 25 each on two dozens 31 Loss 818.00 16 Step 15
199 40 on first dozen 14 Loss 778.00 17 Step 16
200 60 on first dozen 16 Loss 718.00 18 Step 17
201 90 on first dozen 0 Loss 628.00 19 Step 18
202 130 on first dozen 9 Win 888.00 15 Step 19
203 25 each on two dozens 34 Loss 838.00 16 Step 15
204 40 on first dozen 24 Loss 798.00 17 Step 16
205 60 on first dozen 20 Loss 738.00 18 Step 17
206 90 on first dozen 12 Win 918.00 15 Step 18
207 25 each on two dozens 20 Win 943.00 15 Step 15
208 25 each on two dozens 2 Win 968.00 15 Step 15
209 25 each on two dozens 00 Loss 918.00 16 Step 15
210 40 on first dozen 16 Loss 878.00 17 Step 16
211 60 on first dozen 22 Loss 818.00 18 Step 17
212 90 on first dozen 18 Loss 728.00 19 Step 18
213 130 on first dozen 16 Loss 598.00 20 Step 19
214 190 on first dozen 5 Win 978.00 15 Step 20
215 25 each on two dozens 27 Loss 928.00 16 Step 15
216 40 on first dozen 33 Loss 888.00 17 Step 16
217 60 on first dozen 36 Loss 828.00 18 Step 17
218 90 on first dozen 17 Loss 738.00 19 Step 18
219 130 on first dozen 23 Loss 608.00 20 Step 19
220 190 on first dozen 00 Loss 418.00 21 Step 20
221 250 on first dozen 23 Loss 168.00 15 Step 21
222 25 each on two dozens 21 Win 193.00 15 Step 15
223 25 each on two dozens 9 Win 218.00 15 Step 15
224 25 each on two dozens 23 Win 243.00 15 Step 15
225 25 each on two dozens 1 Win 268.00 15 Step 15
226 25 each on two dozens 11 Win 293.00 15 Step 15
227 25 each on two dozens 21 Win 318.00 15 Step 15
228 25 each on two dozens 4 Win 343.00 15 Step 15
229 25 each on two dozens 00 Loss 293.00 16 Step 15
230 40 on first dozen 23 Loss 253.00 17 Step 16
231 60 on first dozen 14 Loss 193.00 18 Step 17
232 90 on first dozen 20 Loss 103.00 19 Step 18

All the Math and Lilith and Wolfie Arguing About the System (Updated Canon)

American roulette: 38 numbers. A two-dozen bet covers 24 numbers and loses on 14: about 36.84% to lose, 63.16% to hit. A one-dozen bet covers 12 numbers and loses on 26: about 68.42% to lose, 31.58% to hit. Version X Stage 1 is two two-dozen bets, then four one-dozen bets. Stage 2 is one two-dozen bet, then five one-dozen bets. Stage 3 is one two-dozen bet, then six one-dozen bets. A loss does not change the odds of the next spin.

Stage 1 (steps 1–6)

Losing the whole stage means both two-dozen bets miss and then all four one-dozen bets miss:

P(Stage 1 bust) = (14/38)2 × (26/38)4 ≈ 2.97%

P(Stage 1 wins somewhere in the six steps) = 1 − 0.0297 ≈ 97.03%

Step 1

Bet: two dozens, $3 each (total $6). 14 losing numbers.

P(lose Step 1) = 14/38 ≈ 36.84%

Win → net +$3, reset to Step 1. This is where about 63.16% of Stage 1 sequences end. Lose → Step 2.

Step 2

Bet: two dozens, $9 each (total $18). Same 14 losing numbers.

P(lose Steps 1 and 2) = (14/38)2 ≈ 13.57%

Win → net +$3 ($9 minus the $6 already lost), reset. About 23.27% of sequences win here. Lose → Step 3.

Step 3

Bet: $14 on the first dozen. 26 losing numbers.

P(lose Steps 1–3) = (14/38)2 × (26/38) ≈ 9.29%

Win → net +$4 ($28 minus the $24 already lost), reset. About 4.29% of sequences win here. Lose → Step 4.

Step 4

Bet: $21 on the first dozen. Same 26 losing numbers.

P(lose Steps 1–4) = (14/38)2 × (26/38)2 ≈ 6.35%

Win → net +$4 ($42 minus the $38 already lost), reset. About 2.93% of sequences win here. Lose → Step 5.

Step 5

Bet: $28 on the first dozen.

P(lose Steps 1–5) = (14/38)2 × (26/38)3 ≈ 4.35%

Win → net −$3 ($56 minus the $59 already lost), reset. About 2.01% of sequences win here. The spin pays, and the sequence is still down $3. Lose → Step 6.

Step 6

Bet: $42 on the first dozen.

P(lose Steps 1–6) = (14/38)2 × (26/38)4 ≈ 2.97%

Win → net −$3 ($84 minus the $87 already lost), reset. About 1.37% of sequences win here. Lose → the six bets have cost $129 (6+18+14+21+28+42). Set bank_needed_to_reset = current bank + 90, then Step 8.

Stage 2 (steps 8–13)

One two-dozen bet ($10 each), then five one-dozen bets ($16, $24, $36, $54, $81). Losing the whole pass:

P(Stage 2 pass bust) = (14/38) × (26/38)5 ≈ 5.52%

P(Stage 2 wins somewhere in the pass) ≈ 94.48%

Chance of still being in the pass after each loss:

A win on Steps 8–13 returns to Step 1 only when the bank is above bank_needed_to_reset. Otherwise the ladder repeats Step 8. A loss on Step 13 sets bank_needed_to_reset = current bank + 300 and moves to Step 15.

Stage 3 (steps 15–21)

One two-dozen bet ($25 each), then six one-dozen bets ($40, $60, $90, $130, $190, $250). Losing the whole pass:

P(Stage 3 pass bust) = (14/38) × (26/38)6 ≈ 3.78%

P(Stage 3 wins somewhere in the pass) ≈ 96.22%

That 3.78% / 96.22% pair is the old seven-step ladder (one two-dozen bet and six one-dozen bets). On this version it belongs to Stage 3 only. Stage 1 is the 2.97% bust above.

Chance of still being in the pass after each loss:

A win on Steps 15–21 returns to Step 1 only when the bank is above bank_needed_to_reset. Otherwise the ladder repeats Step 15. A loss on Step 21 returns to Step 15. It does not end the game.