Roulette Wolfie Ladder version G - Last updated: October 3, 2026

85% win rate based on all 2,910 runs ( SEE results for more details )


I have made about 18 different versions of the Wolfie Ladder and have them all competing to see which is the best version. See the results page to see which is doing the best. When you go to lupopedia.com/wolfie_ladder/ the current winner is shown.

this is my trial / work in progress version of the wolfie ladder system. see version D for the full system with recovery.

the goal is trying to get a system with small bets on a elecronic roulette table with min bet $3 and max be $250 on a dozen bet.


update 10/01/2026: removed the waiting for a win for stage 1.5 and stage 2.5 seemed to make no notibale difference in the win rate. also added database to save the runs and display the win rate on the results page. Also removed step 7 to keep the system simple and fast we have a 5% chance of hitting this but we will recover it. see version A for having that step included back in.

update 10/02/2026: removed step 14 to keep the system simple and fast we have a 5% chance of hitting this but we will recover it. see version B for having that step included back in. removed step 22 ( see version C for having that step included back in) if loosing step 21 and not bankrupt reset the ladder and start over on stage 3 . Reason being that step 22 had a 31% chance of winning but the chances of winning the stages in the ladder 10 times is 68% . you have a better chance of getting the money back doing the ladder.

People keep misunderstanding what I actually built, so here is the truth in plain English: I am not a gambler — I am a programmer. I did not sit there playing 10,000 roulette games like some guy with a lucky rabbit foot. I wrote a program that runs the entire Wolfie Ladder — all 3 stages, all 21 steps — across 50 to 300 simultaneous games on a single page, and then I repeated that whole batch 10,000 times. That is how you get a real statistical picture. That is how you reach a ~90% win rate. Not vibes. Not superstition. Not “progressions” like Fibonacci that blow up the moment variance sneezes. The Wolfie Ladder is engineered to survive streaks, recover losses, and beat the distribution curve — and I tested it by running 10,000+ full sequences in under 30 minutes, not by hand playing one spin at a time. If people think I sat there clicking red/black like a zombie, they really do not understand who they are talking to. When i first made this system luck i guess was on my side because the first few hundred times i was playing it i was winning at a rate of 91% of the time but as i kept running it more and more times the win rate started to drop and now it is at ~80% . And here’s the part people really don’t understand: the Wolfie Ladder wins even when the game‑level win rate is losing. For example — in one of the sequences on the active tab, the system played 92 total games. Out of those:
38 wins
54 losses
Including a brutal streak where it lost every single bet from #52 through #67
That’s 16 consecutive losses in the middle of the run.
And despite that? Despite losing more games than it won? Despite eating a variance spike that would vaporize Fibonacci, Martingale, or any “pro gambler” strategy?
It still finished the sequence up +$100.
That’s the point. The Ladder doesn’t care about “win more than you lose.” It cares about sequence structure, distribution recovery, and controlled escalation. It’s engineered to survive streaks, absorb damage, and still exit the sequence profitable — even when the raw win/loss ratio looks terrible.
This is why the system works. This is why the win rate stabilizes around ~78.2% across 10,000 full trials. Not because it wins every spin — but because it wins the sequence.
THE WOLFIE LADDER SYSTEM (Step-by-Step) CLICK HERE IF YOU WANT TO KNOW THE REASONING BEHIND THESE STEPS
STAGE 1:
1️⃣ Bet on two dozens, $3 each (total $6). If win → net +$3, reset ladder, back to Step 1. If lose → Step 2.
2️⃣ Bet on two dozens, $9 each (total $18). Win → net +$3 ($9 minus the $6 lost on Step 1), reset. Lose → Step 3.
3️⃣ Bet $14 on the first dozen. Win → net +$4 ($28 minus the $24 already lost), reset. Lose → Step 4.
4️⃣ Bet $21 on the first dozen. Win → net +$4 ($42 minus the $38 already lost), reset. Lose → Step 5.
5️⃣ Bet $28 on the first dozen. Win → net −$3 ($56 minus the $59 already lost), reset. Lose → Step 6.
6️⃣ Bet $42 on the first dozen. Win → net −$3 ($84 minus the $87 already lost), reset. Lose → set bank_needed_to_reset = current bank + 90, then Step 8.
7️⃣(Removed in Version B. It only increased Stage‑1 probability by ~2%, but added a heavy 45‑unit cost. Cutting it keeps the system simpler, faster, and far less volatile. We still have a ~5% chance of hitting this loss, but the ladder easily recovers it.)
STAGE 2:
8️⃣ Bet $10 on two dozens. Win & bank > bank_needed_to_reset → reset. Win but bank ≤ bank_needed_to_reset → repeat Step 8. Lose → Step 9. ( net win at this step is $10 )
9️⃣ Bet $16 on the first dozen. Win & bank > bank_needed_to_reset → reset. Win but bank ≤ bank_needed_to_reset → Step 8. Lose → Step 10. ( net win at this step is $12 )
🔟 Bet $24 on the first dozen. Win & bank > bank_needed_to_reset → reset. Win but bank ≤ bank_needed_to_reset → Step 8. Lose → Step 11. ( net win at this step is $12 )
1️⃣1️⃣ Bet $36 on the first dozen. Win & bank > bank_needed_to_reset → reset. Win but bank ≤ bank_needed_to_reset → Step 8. Lose → Step 12. ( net win at this step is $12 )
1️⃣2️⃣ Bet $54 on the first dozen. Win & bank > bank_needed_to_reset → reset. Win but bank ≤ bank_needed_to_reset → Step 8. Lose → Step 13. ( net win at this step is $12 )
1️⃣3️⃣ Bet $81 on the first dozen. Win & bank > bank_needed_to_reset → reset. Win but bank ≤ bank_needed_to_reset → Step 8. Lose → set bank_needed_to_reset = current bank + 300, then Step 15. ( net win at this step is $12 )
1️⃣4️⃣ (Removed in Version C. It only increased Stage‑2 probability by ~2%, but added a heavy 122‑unit cost.
STAGE 3:
1️⃣5️⃣ Bet $25 on two dozens. Win & bank > bank_needed_to_reset → reset. Win but bank ≤ bank_needed_to_reset → repeat Step 15. Lose → Step 16.
1️⃣6️⃣ Bet $40 on the first dozen. Win & bank > bank_needed_to_reset → reset. Win but bank ≤ bank_needed_to_reset → Step 15. Lose → Step 17.
1️⃣7️⃣ Bet $60 on the first dozen. Win & bank > bank_needed_to_reset → reset. Win but bank ≤ bank_needed_to_reset → Step 15. Lose → Step 18.
1️⃣8️⃣ Bet $90 on the first dozen. Win & bank > bank_needed_to_reset → reset. Win but bank ≤ bank_needed_to_reset → Step 15. Lose → Step 19.
1️⃣9️⃣ Bet $130 on the first dozen. Win & bank > bank_needed_to_reset → reset. Win but bank ≤ bank_needed_to_reset → Step 15. Lose → Step 20.
2️⃣0️⃣ Bet $190 on the first dozen. Win & bank > bank_needed_to_reset → reset. Win but bank ≤ bank_needed_to_reset → Step 15. Lose → Step 21.
2️⃣1️⃣ Bet $250 on the first dozen. Win & bank > bank_needed_to_reset → reset. Win but bank ≤ bank_needed_to_reset → Step 15. Lose → Step 15.

Roulette wheel
This system was build using 80 diffent ai agents across 8 LLM models to test the best possible system for roulette using lupopedia AI platform.
The programmer captain wolfie (Eric) was too board playing just one game at a time so programmed this to play up to 500 games all at once, that way can play thousands of times a minute and find the best stratagy that holds up . .
Want the full story? Check out the Patreon post for the complete dialog between Captain Wolfie, Grok, and the mischievous Lilith!

Why my versions are A, B, C instead of major.minor.patch Because the traditional versioning system — major.minor.patch — is meaningless for what I’m doing here. I’m not shipping software releases. I’m iterating behavioral variants of a probability engine. Each version (A, B, C… all the way to ZZ if I want) represents a distinct ladder logic, a distinct recovery pattern, a distinct volatility profile, and a distinct mathematical personality. These aren’t “patches.” These aren’t “minor updates.” These are forks of logic. Version A behaves one way. Version B behaves another way. Version C might remove a step, add a step, rebalance a stage, or change the volatility curve entirely. Using semantic versioning (4.0.96, 4.0.97, etc.) would imply these are incremental changes to the same system — but they’re not. They’re parallel universes. So I use lettered versions because: They’re simple They’re human-readable They reflect behavior, not “patch level” They let me branch logic infinitely (A → B → C → … → Z → AA → AB → … → ZZ) They match how I actually think about the system In other words: Version A is a creature. Version B is a different creature. Version C is another creature. Letters make more sense for creatures than numbers.

Probability Reality Check

American wheel dozen loss probability stays the same on every spin: about 68.42% to lose, 31.58% to hit your dozen. Even after 10 or 15 losses in a row, the next spin is still roughly 1/3 to win, 2/3 to lose. This ladder doesn't pretend the odds improve—it only adjusts stake size so that, when you do finally win, you aim to recover with the progression. The house edge is still there; this is about controlled exposure, not guaranteed profit.

500-Round Simulation (American Wheel Model)

MySQL connected to collab52_salessyntax on localhost. This run was saved to wolfie_ladder_runs.

Every time this page loads it simulates 500 games using the WOLFIE Ladder exactly as defined here or stops if you win $100+ How did you do? If the run ended in the cliff, click here to try again and generate a fresh 500-game sequence. Saved runs are listed on wolfie_ladder_results.php.

Final Bank
148.00
Net Units
-1,352.00
Wins / Losses
93 / 126
Max Step Reached
21
Run Status
Bank Depleted or Game Over
Table Limit Hit
No
Bank Depleted
Yes

Below is one 500-bet run. Each roll uses the real American wheel odds (12/38 for single dozen). Every time a win hits, we reset or loop based on rules.

# Bet Wheel Result Bank Next Step Mode
1 3 each on two dozens 36 Loss 1,494.00 2 Step 1
2 9 each on two dozens 19 Win 1,503.00 1 Step 2
3 3 each on two dozens 2 Win 1,506.00 1 Step 1
4 3 each on two dozens 00 Loss 1,500.00 2 Step 1
5 9 each on two dozens 28 Loss 1,482.00 3 Step 2
6 14 on first dozen 18 Loss 1,468.00 4 Step 3
7 21 on first dozen 18 Loss 1,447.00 5 Step 4
8 28 on first dozen 27 Loss 1,419.00 6 Step 5
9 42 on first dozen 31 Loss 1,377.00 8 Step 6
10 10 each on two dozens 0 Loss 1,357.00 9 Step 8
11 16 on first dozen 34 Loss 1,341.00 10 Step 9
12 24 on first dozen 23 Loss 1,317.00 11 Step 10
13 36 on first dozen 28 Loss 1,281.00 12 Step 11
14 54 on first dozen 31 Loss 1,227.00 13 Step 12
15 81 on first dozen 3 Win 1,389.00 8 Step 13
16 10 each on two dozens 17 Win 1,399.00 8 Step 8
17 10 each on two dozens 8 Win 1,409.00 8 Step 8
18 10 each on two dozens 28 Loss 1,389.00 9 Step 8
19 16 on first dozen 21 Loss 1,373.00 10 Step 9
20 24 on first dozen 18 Loss 1,349.00 11 Step 10
21 36 on first dozen 19 Loss 1,313.00 12 Step 11
22 54 on first dozen 4 Win 1,421.00 8 Step 12
23 10 each on two dozens 8 Win 1,431.00 8 Step 8
24 10 each on two dozens 31 Loss 1,411.00 9 Step 8
25 16 on first dozen 20 Loss 1,395.00 10 Step 9
26 24 on first dozen 4 Win 1,443.00 8 Step 10
27 10 each on two dozens 5 Win 1,453.00 8 Step 8
28 10 each on two dozens 19 Win 1,463.00 8 Step 8
29 10 each on two dozens 33 Loss 1,443.00 9 Step 8
30 16 on first dozen 31 Loss 1,427.00 10 Step 9
31 24 on first dozen 29 Loss 1,403.00 11 Step 10
32 36 on first dozen 25 Loss 1,367.00 12 Step 11
33 54 on first dozen 10 Win 1,475.00 1 Step 12
34 3 each on two dozens 15 Win 1,478.00 1 Step 1
35 3 each on two dozens 23 Win 1,481.00 1 Step 1
36 3 each on two dozens 32 Loss 1,475.00 2 Step 1
37 9 each on two dozens 19 Win 1,484.00 1 Step 2
38 3 each on two dozens 21 Win 1,487.00 1 Step 1
39 3 each on two dozens 3 Win 1,490.00 1 Step 1
40 3 each on two dozens 29 Loss 1,484.00 2 Step 1
41 9 each on two dozens 22 Win 1,493.00 1 Step 2
42 3 each on two dozens 17 Win 1,496.00 1 Step 1
43 3 each on two dozens 7 Win 1,499.00 1 Step 1
44 3 each on two dozens 00 Loss 1,493.00 2 Step 1
45 9 each on two dozens 0 Loss 1,475.00 3 Step 2
46 14 on first dozen 18 Loss 1,461.00 4 Step 3
47 21 on first dozen 22 Loss 1,440.00 5 Step 4
48 28 on first dozen 17 Loss 1,412.00 6 Step 5
49 42 on first dozen 31 Loss 1,370.00 8 Step 6
50 10 each on two dozens 21 Win 1,380.00 8 Step 8
51 10 each on two dozens 30 Loss 1,360.00 9 Step 8
52 16 on first dozen 30 Loss 1,344.00 10 Step 9
53 24 on first dozen 23 Loss 1,320.00 11 Step 10
54 36 on first dozen 2 Win 1,392.00 8 Step 11
55 10 each on two dozens 31 Loss 1,372.00 9 Step 8
56 16 on first dozen 21 Loss 1,356.00 10 Step 9
57 24 on first dozen 28 Loss 1,332.00 11 Step 10
58 36 on first dozen 12 Win 1,404.00 8 Step 11
59 10 each on two dozens 12 Win 1,414.00 8 Step 8
60 10 each on two dozens 9 Win 1,424.00 8 Step 8
61 10 each on two dozens 0 Loss 1,404.00 9 Step 8
62 16 on first dozen 23 Loss 1,388.00 10 Step 9
63 24 on first dozen 24 Loss 1,364.00 11 Step 10
64 36 on first dozen 36 Loss 1,328.00 12 Step 11
65 54 on first dozen 32 Loss 1,274.00 13 Step 12
66 81 on first dozen 26 Loss 1,193.00 15 Step 13
67 25 each on two dozens 24 Win 1,218.00 15 Step 15
68 25 each on two dozens 8 Win 1,243.00 15 Step 15
69 25 each on two dozens 2 Win 1,268.00 15 Step 15
70 25 each on two dozens 25 Loss 1,218.00 16 Step 15
71 40 on first dozen 2 Win 1,298.00 15 Step 16
72 25 each on two dozens 35 Loss 1,248.00 16 Step 15
73 40 on first dozen 32 Loss 1,208.00 17 Step 16
74 60 on first dozen 19 Loss 1,148.00 18 Step 17
75 90 on first dozen 29 Loss 1,058.00 19 Step 18
76 130 on first dozen 29 Loss 928.00 20 Step 19
77 190 on first dozen 1 Win 1,308.00 15 Step 20
78 25 each on two dozens 33 Loss 1,258.00 16 Step 15
79 40 on first dozen 20 Loss 1,218.00 17 Step 16
80 60 on first dozen 2 Win 1,338.00 15 Step 17
81 25 each on two dozens 14 Win 1,363.00 15 Step 15
82 25 each on two dozens 1 Win 1,388.00 15 Step 15
83 25 each on two dozens 13 Win 1,413.00 15 Step 15
84 25 each on two dozens 28 Loss 1,363.00 16 Step 15
85 40 on first dozen 34 Loss 1,323.00 17 Step 16
86 60 on first dozen 27 Loss 1,263.00 18 Step 17
87 90 on first dozen 35 Loss 1,173.00 19 Step 18
88 130 on first dozen 25 Loss 1,043.00 20 Step 19
89 190 on first dozen 15 Loss 853.00 21 Step 20
90 250 on first dozen 7 Win 1,353.00 15 Step 21
91 25 each on two dozens 15 Win 1,378.00 15 Step 15
92 25 each on two dozens 36 Loss 1,328.00 16 Step 15
93 40 on first dozen 13 Loss 1,288.00 17 Step 16
94 60 on first dozen 32 Loss 1,228.00 18 Step 17
95 90 on first dozen 10 Win 1,408.00 15 Step 18
96 25 each on two dozens 6 Win 1,433.00 15 Step 15
97 25 each on two dozens 6 Win 1,458.00 15 Step 15
98 25 each on two dozens 32 Loss 1,408.00 16 Step 15
99 40 on first dozen 35 Loss 1,368.00 17 Step 16
100 60 on first dozen 35 Loss 1,308.00 18 Step 17
101 90 on first dozen 1 Win 1,488.00 15 Step 18
102 25 each on two dozens 14 Win 1,513.00 1 Step 15
103 3 each on two dozens 3 Win 1,516.00 1 Step 1
104 3 each on two dozens 25 Loss 1,510.00 2 Step 1
105 9 each on two dozens 22 Win 1,519.00 1 Step 2
106 3 each on two dozens 6 Win 1,522.00 1 Step 1
107 3 each on two dozens 10 Win 1,525.00 1 Step 1
108 3 each on two dozens 10 Win 1,528.00 1 Step 1
109 3 each on two dozens 34 Loss 1,522.00 2 Step 1
110 9 each on two dozens 9 Win 1,531.00 1 Step 2
111 3 each on two dozens 19 Win 1,534.00 1 Step 1
112 3 each on two dozens 22 Win 1,537.00 1 Step 1
113 3 each on two dozens 32 Loss 1,531.00 2 Step 1
114 9 each on two dozens 7 Win 1,540.00 1 Step 2
115 3 each on two dozens 4 Win 1,543.00 1 Step 1
116 3 each on two dozens 12 Win 1,546.00 1 Step 1
117 3 each on two dozens 25 Loss 1,540.00 2 Step 1
118 9 each on two dozens 27 Loss 1,522.00 3 Step 2
119 14 on first dozen 17 Loss 1,508.00 4 Step 3
120 21 on first dozen 13 Loss 1,487.00 5 Step 4
121 28 on first dozen 17 Loss 1,459.00 6 Step 5
122 42 on first dozen 22 Loss 1,417.00 8 Step 6
123 10 each on two dozens 18 Win 1,427.00 8 Step 8
124 10 each on two dozens 20 Win 1,437.00 8 Step 8
125 10 each on two dozens 7 Win 1,447.00 8 Step 8
126 10 each on two dozens 26 Loss 1,427.00 9 Step 8
127 16 on first dozen 10 Win 1,459.00 8 Step 9
128 10 each on two dozens 29 Loss 1,439.00 9 Step 8
129 16 on first dozen 36 Loss 1,423.00 10 Step 9
130 24 on first dozen 22 Loss 1,399.00 11 Step 10
131 36 on first dozen 00 Loss 1,363.00 12 Step 11
132 54 on first dozen 30 Loss 1,309.00 13 Step 12
133 81 on first dozen 18 Loss 1,228.00 15 Step 13
134 25 each on two dozens 14 Win 1,253.00 15 Step 15
135 25 each on two dozens 1 Win 1,278.00 15 Step 15
136 25 each on two dozens 35 Loss 1,228.00 16 Step 15
137 40 on first dozen 9 Win 1,308.00 15 Step 16
138 25 each on two dozens 17 Win 1,333.00 15 Step 15
139 25 each on two dozens 8 Win 1,358.00 15 Step 15
140 25 each on two dozens 12 Win 1,383.00 15 Step 15
141 25 each on two dozens 33 Loss 1,333.00 16 Step 15
142 40 on first dozen 9 Win 1,413.00 15 Step 16
143 25 each on two dozens 00 Loss 1,363.00 16 Step 15
144 40 on first dozen 24 Loss 1,323.00 17 Step 16
145 60 on first dozen 28 Loss 1,263.00 18 Step 17
146 90 on first dozen 18 Loss 1,173.00 19 Step 18
147 130 on first dozen 15 Loss 1,043.00 20 Step 19
148 190 on first dozen 15 Loss 853.00 21 Step 20
149 250 on first dozen 18 Loss 603.00 15 Step 21
150 25 each on two dozens 34 Loss 553.00 16 Step 15
151 40 on first dozen 9 Win 633.00 15 Step 16
152 25 each on two dozens 31 Loss 583.00 16 Step 15
153 40 on first dozen 18 Loss 543.00 17 Step 16
154 60 on first dozen 6 Win 663.00 15 Step 17
155 25 each on two dozens 2 Win 688.00 15 Step 15
156 25 each on two dozens 4 Win 713.00 15 Step 15
157 25 each on two dozens 33 Loss 663.00 16 Step 15
158 40 on first dozen 11 Win 743.00 15 Step 16
159 25 each on two dozens 36 Loss 693.00 16 Step 15
160 40 on first dozen 30 Loss 653.00 17 Step 16
161 60 on first dozen 21 Loss 593.00 18 Step 17
162 90 on first dozen 24 Loss 503.00 19 Step 18
163 130 on first dozen 3 Win 763.00 15 Step 19
164 25 each on two dozens 17 Win 788.00 15 Step 15
165 25 each on two dozens 1 Win 813.00 15 Step 15
166 25 each on two dozens 28 Loss 763.00 16 Step 15
167 40 on first dozen 0 Loss 723.00 17 Step 16
168 60 on first dozen 32 Loss 663.00 18 Step 17
169 90 on first dozen 25 Loss 573.00 19 Step 18
170 130 on first dozen 0 Loss 443.00 20 Step 19
171 190 on first dozen 29 Loss 253.00 21 Step 20
172 250 on first dozen 11 Win 753.00 15 Step 21
173 25 each on two dozens 32 Loss 703.00 16 Step 15
174 40 on first dozen 34 Loss 663.00 17 Step 16
175 60 on first dozen 14 Loss 603.00 18 Step 17
176 90 on first dozen 6 Win 783.00 15 Step 18
177 25 each on two dozens 6 Win 808.00 15 Step 15
178 25 each on two dozens 27 Loss 758.00 16 Step 15
179 40 on first dozen 19 Loss 718.00 17 Step 16
180 60 on first dozen 24 Loss 658.00 18 Step 17
181 90 on first dozen 0 Loss 568.00 19 Step 18
182 130 on first dozen 7 Win 828.00 15 Step 19
183 25 each on two dozens 10 Win 853.00 15 Step 15
184 25 each on two dozens 17 Win 878.00 15 Step 15
185 25 each on two dozens 30 Loss 828.00 16 Step 15
186 40 on first dozen 10 Win 908.00 15 Step 16
187 25 each on two dozens 6 Win 933.00 15 Step 15
188 25 each on two dozens 17 Win 958.00 15 Step 15
189 25 each on two dozens 15 Win 983.00 15 Step 15
190 25 each on two dozens 5 Win 1,008.00 15 Step 15
191 25 each on two dozens 29 Loss 958.00 16 Step 15
192 40 on first dozen 11 Win 1,038.00 15 Step 16
193 25 each on two dozens 3 Win 1,063.00 15 Step 15
194 25 each on two dozens 23 Win 1,088.00 15 Step 15
195 25 each on two dozens 35 Loss 1,038.00 16 Step 15
196 40 on first dozen 2 Win 1,118.00 15 Step 16
197 25 each on two dozens 13 Win 1,143.00 15 Step 15
198 25 each on two dozens 17 Win 1,168.00 15 Step 15
199 25 each on two dozens 16 Win 1,193.00 15 Step 15
200 25 each on two dozens 9 Win 1,218.00 15 Step 15
201 25 each on two dozens 35 Loss 1,168.00 16 Step 15
202 40 on first dozen 1 Win 1,248.00 15 Step 16
203 25 each on two dozens 4 Win 1,273.00 15 Step 15
204 25 each on two dozens 00 Loss 1,223.00 16 Step 15
205 40 on first dozen 00 Loss 1,183.00 17 Step 16
206 60 on first dozen 28 Loss 1,123.00 18 Step 17
207 90 on first dozen 21 Loss 1,033.00 19 Step 18
208 130 on first dozen 21 Loss 903.00 20 Step 19
209 190 on first dozen 28 Loss 713.00 21 Step 20
210 250 on first dozen 19 Loss 463.00 15 Step 21
211 25 each on two dozens 30 Loss 413.00 16 Step 15
212 40 on first dozen 26 Loss 373.00 17 Step 16
213 60 on first dozen 5 Win 493.00 15 Step 17
214 25 each on two dozens 9 Win 518.00 15 Step 15
215 25 each on two dozens 36 Loss 468.00 16 Step 15
216 40 on first dozen 32 Loss 428.00 17 Step 16
217 60 on first dozen 28 Loss 368.00 18 Step 17
218 90 on first dozen 31 Loss 278.00 19 Step 18
219 130 on first dozen 25 Loss 148.00 20 Step 19

All the Math and Lilith and Wolfie Arguing About the System (Updated Canon)

American roulette: 38 numbers. A two-dozen bet covers 24 numbers and loses on 14: about 36.84% to lose, 63.16% to hit. A one-dozen bet covers 12 numbers and loses on 26: about 68.42% to lose, 31.58% to hit. Version G Stage 1 is two two-dozen bets, then four one-dozen bets. Stage 2 is one two-dozen bet, then five one-dozen bets. Stage 3 is one two-dozen bet, then six one-dozen bets. A loss does not change the odds of the next spin.

Stage 1 (steps 1–6)

Losing the whole stage means both two-dozen bets miss and then all four one-dozen bets miss:

P(Stage 1 bust) = (14/38)2 × (26/38)4 ≈ 2.97%

P(Stage 1 wins somewhere in the six steps) = 1 − 0.0297 ≈ 97.03%

Step 1

Bet: two dozens, $3 each (total $6). 14 losing numbers.

P(lose Step 1) = 14/38 ≈ 36.84%

Win → net +$3, reset to Step 1. This is where about 63.16% of Stage 1 sequences end. Lose → Step 2.

Step 2

Bet: two dozens, $9 each (total $18). Same 14 losing numbers.

P(lose Steps 1 and 2) = (14/38)2 ≈ 13.57%

Win → net +$3 ($9 minus the $6 already lost), reset. About 23.27% of sequences win here. Lose → Step 3.

Step 3

Bet: $14 on the first dozen. 26 losing numbers.

P(lose Steps 1–3) = (14/38)2 × (26/38) ≈ 9.29%

Win → net +$4 ($28 minus the $24 already lost), reset. About 4.29% of sequences win here. Lose → Step 4.

Step 4

Bet: $21 on the first dozen. Same 26 losing numbers.

P(lose Steps 1–4) = (14/38)2 × (26/38)2 ≈ 6.35%

Win → net +$4 ($42 minus the $38 already lost), reset. About 2.93% of sequences win here. Lose → Step 5.

Step 5

Bet: $28 on the first dozen.

P(lose Steps 1–5) = (14/38)2 × (26/38)3 ≈ 4.35%

Win → net −$3 ($56 minus the $59 already lost), reset. About 2.01% of sequences win here. The spin pays, and the sequence is still down $3. Lose → Step 6.

Step 6

Bet: $42 on the first dozen.

P(lose Steps 1–6) = (14/38)2 × (26/38)4 ≈ 2.97%

Win → net −$3 ($84 minus the $87 already lost), reset. About 1.37% of sequences win here. Lose → the six bets have cost $129 (6+18+14+21+28+42). Set bank_needed_to_reset = current bank + 90, then Step 8.

Stage 2 (steps 8–13)

One two-dozen bet ($10 each), then five one-dozen bets ($16, $24, $36, $54, $81). Losing the whole pass:

P(Stage 2 pass bust) = (14/38) × (26/38)5 ≈ 5.52%

P(Stage 2 wins somewhere in the pass) ≈ 94.48%

Chance of still being in the pass after each loss:

A win on Steps 8–13 returns to Step 1 only when the bank is above bank_needed_to_reset. Otherwise the ladder repeats Step 8. A loss on Step 13 sets bank_needed_to_reset = current bank + 300 and moves to Step 15.

Stage 3 (steps 15–21)

One two-dozen bet ($25 each), then six one-dozen bets ($40, $60, $90, $130, $190, $250). Losing the whole pass:

P(Stage 3 pass bust) = (14/38) × (26/38)6 ≈ 3.78%

P(Stage 3 wins somewhere in the pass) ≈ 96.22%

That 3.78% / 96.22% pair is the old seven-step ladder (one two-dozen bet and six one-dozen bets). On this version it belongs to Stage 3 only. Stage 1 is the 2.97% bust above.

Chance of still being in the pass after each loss:

A win on Steps 15–21 returns to Step 1 only when the bank is above bank_needed_to_reset. Otherwise the ladder repeats Step 15. A loss on Step 21 returns to Step 15. It does not end the game.